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A simple climate model
Fs = 1375 W/m2, tube area pa2
~30% reflected away into space: albedo a = 0.3
~70% emitted as thermal infrared F0, from area 4pa2
F0=¼Fs(1-a) » 240 W/m2
effective temperature, Te given by: sTe4=F0
gives Te = 255K, lower than observed Ts = ~285K
why? - greenhouse effect